Tag: updated

This week eight men’s college baseball teams arrive in Omaha with a shot at a national championship, and NCAA baseball immortality.

But for some of the players in Omaha, the Men’s College World Series is just the next stop on their way to achieving their personal MLB dreams.

The 2024 MLB Draft is now a month away, as it gets underway on July 14 in Fort Worth, Texas. Many prospects have done all they can to impress the scouts, but some players still have some baseball to be played, as they chase down a National Championship in Omaha.

How might the first round play out, and what players should you keep an eye on in the Men’s College World Series? Here is our first MLB mock draft of the 2024 scouting season..

1. Cleveland Guardians: Charlie Condon, 3B, Georgia

Throughout the spring Charlie Condon and Travis Bazzana have flip-flopped in this position, and if the Guardians end up drafting Bazzana it will certainly not be a surprise. Both players posted video game numbers this year (with Condon putting up a slash line of .433/.556/1.009 along with 37 home runs) and the Georgia infielder has room to grow into his 6’6 frame.

2. Cincinnati Reds: Travis Bazzana, 2B, Oregon State

As noted above, Bazzana and Condon have flip-flopped in the one and two spots throughout mock draft season. Many mocks have the Oregon State infielder in the top spot right now, given his production over his time on campus. A tremendous summer on the Cape, as he won Cape Cod MVP honors as well as a batting title with a .375 average — done with a wooden bat, which MLB scouts love to see — might give him the edge.

Ultimately it might come down to a preference regarding Bazzana’s middle infielder profile, and Condon’s corner infielder prospects. However, both the Reds and the Guardians are in a good spot.

3. Colorado Rockies: Jac Caglianone, 1B/LHP, Florida

This might be where the 2024 MLB Draft truly begins, with the Colorado Rockies in the third spot. A number of players have been linked to Colorado with this pick, but for my money Ja Caglianone is the most fascinating player in the draft. His two-way skills have earned him the nickname “Jactani” — a nod to Shohei Ohtani — but his MLB future is likely forged as a hitter.

To that point, Caglianone stands alone in the storied history of SEC baseball as the only player with back-to-back 30 HR seasons.

Coming into this season there was a concern about his strikeout numbers, as he struckout 58 times in 319 plate appearances a season ago. But this year he cut down on the strikeouts dramatically, striking out just 25 times over his 297 plate appearances. He also raised his batting average from .323 in 2023 to an impressive .411 this past season.

Given that he is absolutely a pro-level prospect with what he can do on the mound, Caglianone is absolutely worthy of an early selection.

4. Oakland Athletics: Chase Burns, RHP, Wake Forest

A few different arms have the potential to be the first pitcher taken in July, and at the moment the nod might go to Chase Burns out of Wake Forest. Burns began his collegiate career at Tennessee — after being drafted in the 20th round of the 2021 MLB Draft by the San Diego Padres — but was moved to the bullpen after a stint as a starter in the Volunteers rotation.

Burns transferred to Wake Forest and thrived as a starter, going 10-1 this season with an ERA of 2.70 while holding opposing hitters to a .175 batting average. He has a solid array of pitches, with a fastball that can top out in triple digits, an impressive slider, and a curveball and a changeup that round out his attack.

5. Chicago White Sox: Hagen Smith, LHP, Arkansas

Burns is one option for an arm inside the top five of the 2024 MLB Draft. Left-hander Hagen Smith is the other. Smith leaves campus having gotten better and better every single season at Arkansas. Back in 2022 Smith started 20 games for the Razorbacks, posting a 7-2 record with an ERA of 4.66 and a batting average allowed of .234.

Over the 2023 season Smith posted a win-loss record of 8-2, with an ERA of 3.64 while holding hitters to a batting average of .217.

This past season? Smith went 9-2 for the Razorbacks, with an ERA of 2.04 and an opponent batting average of .144. That is quite the trajectory.

Smith also uses a three-quarters delivery, which you can see in this cutup from Rob Friedman:

While he underwent Tommy John surgery as a high school sophomore, he has been a workhorse since then, with the potential to be a top-tier starter in the majors.

6. Kansas City Royals: Nick Kurtz, 1B, Wake Forest

Wake Forest recruited Nick Kurtz as a left-handed starting pitcher, but his prowess at the dish saw him thrive as a hitter in the collegiate game. He has been a force at the plate for the Demon Deacons since arriving on campus, posting a slash line of .338/.471./.637 back in 2022 with 15 home runs. This past season saw his average dip a bit, as he hit .306, but combine that with an OBP of .531 and a .763 Slugging Percentage and you have some really solid numbers.

Strikeouts might be an issue, as he was punched out 50 times back in 2023 and another 42 times this past season. But the numbers at the plate warrant an early selection.

7. St. Louis Cardinals: Braden Montgomery, OF, Texas A&M

The Aggies are headed to Omaha, and Braden Montgomery is a huge reason why. The outfielder is part of a three-headed monster at Texas A&M, along with infielder Gavin Grahovac and fellow outfielder Jace Laviolette, that punishes opposing pitchers.

As for Montgomery, he put up a slash line of .322/.454/.733 this past season, while belting 27 home runs and driving in a team-high 85 runs. The switch-hitting prospect has seen his power numbers tick up sine the start of his collegiate career, which came at Stanford before transferring to Texas A&M.

Oh, and he also pitches. While the Aggies only used him in two games this past year with one start, he appeared in ten games for Stanford in 2023 and 13 back in 2022. In that 2022 campaign he held hitters to a batting average of just .197.

His MLB future, however, is likely as a corner outfielder.

8. Los Angeles Angels: Vance Honeycutt, OF, North Carolina

At first blush, this might seem like a reach.

But from where I sit, few players have helped their draft stock the past few weeks more than Vance Honeycutt.

The UNC outfielder is a true “five-tool” player, with lots of evidence to back up that proposition. You can point to the second straight ACC Defensive Player of the Year Award he earned this spring, or the 76 bases he swiped on campus over his three seasons. You can also point to the 63 home runs he hit at UNC, becoming the school leader in that category.

But for me it was what he delivered in the Super Regionals that tell his full story, as he belted a walk-off two run shot in Game 1 against West Virginia, and then started Game 2 with a solo shot on the very first pitch of the game.

Strikeouts are an issue, and are a big reason he is often seen in the late teens in mock drafts. His strikeout rate back in 2022 was 30%, and after dipping in 2023 crept back up to 28% this past season. But someone is going to place a big bet on those tools, and be happy they did.

9. Pittsburgh Pirates: JJ Wetherholt, SS/2B, West Virginia

After taking Paul Skenes with the first-overall selection a year ago, the Pittsburgh Pirates likely look to add a bat with this selection. They have been linked to a few players already selected in this mock, including Montgomery and Kurtz, but with both taken they look at the West Virginia middle infielder.

JJ Wetherholt is one of the best hitters in the class, and showed that during a 2022 campaign where he posted an astronomical slash line of .449/.517/.782, earning Big 12 Conference Player of the Year honors. A hamstring injury at the start of the 2024 campaign cut down his production numbers, but he is as close to a sure thing at the plate as it gets. His MLB position remains a question mark, as he might be better suited to 2B in the pros, but this is a top ten pick.

10. Washington Nationals: Konnor Griffin, SS/OF, Jackson Prep MS

After a run of college players we see our first prep prospect come off the board.

And what a prospect Konnor Griffin is.

He put up absurd numbers this past season, batting .559 with 9 home runs. He also stole 85 bases in just 43 games, and was named the Gatorade National High School Player of the Year. That combination of speed and power makes him a player with 30-30 potential at the next level.

Try and find where this home run lands. It is not easy:

While he has committed to LSU, expect him to be an early pick next month.

11. Detroit Tigers: Bryce Ranier, SS, Harvard-Westlake (CA)

The draft continues along prep lines with Bryce Ranier, a shortstop from Harvard-Westlake in California. At the National High School Invitational Ranier put on a show, going 7-for-13 with two doubles, five walks, and a pair of stolen bases. He also posted the top four exit velocities at the plate, and did that while making a relief appearance that saw him consistently in the mid 90s with his fastball.

That above link has a good cutup of Ranier’s approach at the plate.

Ranier has committed to Texas, but like Griffin he is likely an early pick in round one.

12. Boston Red Sox: James Tibbs III, OF, Florida State

This might be the second inflection point of the first round. While the first comes at pick No. 3 by the Colorado Rockies — after the expected top two of Condon and Bazzana in some order — the second is here.

Which makes me nervous as a Boston Red Sox fan.

As noted in this mock draft from MLB.com, at this point there are over a dozen college hitters “who could go anywhere from the teens to the supplemental first round and tye could come off the board in just about any order.” However, that same mock has Florida State outfielder James Tibbs going in the top-ten selections, while here (in yes a bit of homer manifestation I concede) Tibbs slides to the Red Sox at No. 12.

Tibbs put up massive numbers for the Seminoles this season, with a slash line of .374/.497/.813, and was huge for FSU in the Super Regionals against Connecticut. Tibbs went 2-for-5 with four RBI in their Game 1 win over the Huskies, and then had a massive afternoon in Game 2, going 5-for-6 with four RBI and three home runs, including this two-run shot in the top of the 12th to give FSU the 10-8 lead:

Yes, I am manifesting. But you understand why.

13. San Francisco Giants: Cam Caminiti, LHP, Saguaro HS (AZ)

I know what you are thinking.

No, Cam Caminiti is not Ken Caminiti’s son.

But they are cousins.

The LSU commit has done work both on the bump and at the dish, but his MLB future is likely as a left-handed starting pitcher. Caminiti has four solid pitches, including a fastball that can top out in the upper 90s along with both a curveball and a slider. That fourth pitch is a changeup, which he used more this past season according to scouting reports.

Here is a good look at Caminiti on the bump:

14. Chicago Cubs: Trey Yesavage, RHP, East Carolina

Trey Yesavage missed the AAC Tournament with a partially collapsed lung.

He came back for the Regionals and in Game 2 of the Greenville Regional against Wake Forest he went 7.1 innings, allowing just one run. His counterpart that day? Chase Burns, who lasted just five innings and gave up four runs.

On the year Yesavage went 11-1 with an ERA of 2.02, while holding hitters to a .154 clip.

His slider might be his best pitch, but he can dial it up with the fastball, which gets into the upper 90s.

15. Seattle Mariners: Cam Smith, 3B, Florida State

After hitting just .258 in 2023 for the Seminoles, Smith broke out in a huge way this past season. Smith put up a slash line of .402/.497/.677 for FSU this year, while cutting his strikeout rate from 29% in 2023 to just 16% this past season.

He also enjoyed a strong summer on the Cape, earning Most Outstanding Pro Prospect honors in the Cape Cod league while putting up an OPS of .981.

The draft-eligible sophomore can certainly help his cause in Omaha.

16. Miami Marlins: Seaver King, 3B/OF, Wake Forest

After two standout seasons at Division II Wingate (NC) where he slashed .411/.457/.699 with 11 homers as a sophomore, Seaver King transferred to Wake Forest. He played all over the field for the Demon Deacons this season, seeing time at shortstop, second, third, and in the outfield.

This season he put up a slash line of .308/.377/.577, while showing some pop with 16 home runs. He also has some wood bat experience, having secured MVP accolades in the Valley League in 2022, and hitting .424 with the Harwich Mariners last summer in the Cape Cod League.

His MLB position might be a question mark, and his best fit might be at shortstop, but the bat leads the way.

17. Milwaukee Brewers: Tommy White, 3B, LSU

In the bottom of the 11th inning in a game against Wake Forest in last year’s Men’s College World Series, Tommy “Tanks” White strode to the plate with a berth in the Finals on the line. He was looking for a fastball.

He did not get one.

It did not matter:

White’s walk-off home run capped off an instant classic, and has become part of LSU baseball lore. In fact the play was name the Male Sports Play of the Year by the school, and helped LSU along to a National Title.

While the Tigers’ bid for another championship fell short this year, White certainly held up his end of the bargain, slashing .330/.401/.638. He also hit 24 home runs, marking the third-straight season he left the yard at least 24 times (he belted 27 home runs at NC State in 2022, then 24 in both 2023 and 2024 with LSU).

The Brewers are rumored to be eying college bats with this selection, and White stands out as a very good option.

18. Tampa Bay Rays: William Schmidt, RHP, Catholic HS (LA)

While teams sometimes shy away from high school pitchers in the first round, the Tampa Bay Rays are not one of those teams. Looking through their draft history you see a number of high school arms in the first round, including Blake Snell, Matthew Liberatore, and most recently Nick Bitsko in 2020.

William Schmidt could be their next high school pitcher in the first round, especially if he slides to them at No. 18. Scouts believe he has the best breaking ball in the class, a low-80s “hammer” that has a spin rate over 3,000 and a heater that sits in the mid-90s.

Here are both pitches in action:

He has committed to LSU, but he might be headed elsewhere.

19. New York Mets: Carson Benge, OF, Oklahoma State

According to reports the Mets have been looking at college hitters for this spot, and given how this mock draft has fallen, their eyes turn to Carson Benge. The Oregon State outfielder has put up monster numbers the past two collegiate seasons, slashing .343/.466/.535 during 2023 and showing a bit more pop this past year, posting a slash line of .335/.444/.665 with 18 home runs, more than double his 2023 total of seven.

Benge is also a solid prospect on the bump, as he went 3-1 this season for the Beavers with an ERA of 2.75, and an impressive BA allowed of just .175. However, like some prospects we have already discussed, his future lies with what he can do as a left-handed hitter.

20. Toronto Blue Jays: Walker Janek, C, Sam Houston State

We have our first catcher.

Four catchers are potential first-round picks next month: Walker Janek from Sam Houston State, Malcolm Moore from Stanford, Caleb Lomavita from California, and NC State backstop Jacob Cozart. (For those looking ahead to this weekend’s Men’s College World Series, Cozart is a master when it comes to framing pitches … perhaps too good).

The Toronto Blue Jays have been mentioned as a team that could look to a catcher with this selection, and Janek is the pick here. He hit .281 in the Cape Cod League regular season this past summer with Falmouth, with five home runs. That will certainly help his prospects.

21. Minnesota Twins: Christian Moore, 2B, Tennessee

As you can probably tell there are a host of prospects that will be playing in the Men’s College World Series over the next few days, if not beyond.

One of those is Christian Moore, who helps power a Volunteers lineup that is one of the best in the college game. Moore started his college journey as a DH for the Volunteers, before cracking the lineup at second base. This season he slashed .375/.453/.796, while ripping a career-best 32 home runs. He is one of five everyday players in the Tennessee lineup with an OPS over 1.000, and he has some speed too, as evidenced by the 16 steals a season ago.

22. Baltimore Orioles: Ryan Sloan, RHP, York HS (IL)

Mike Elias has not drafted a high school pitcher since taking over in Baltimore, but if Ryan Sloan falls to this spot, the Orioles GM might just break that streak. Ryan Sloan brings three solid pitches to the table as a prospect: A fastball that hangs in the mid-90s with some upper-90s pop, a solid changeup, and a slider with some good horizontal movement.

You can see all three pitches on display in this cutup of Sloan:

23. Los Angeles Dodgers: Brody Brecht, RHP, Iowa

There was a time when I thought Brody Brecht would be appearing in more football mock drafts than anything else, as he enrolled at Iowa as a wide receiver for the football team as well as his duties on the bump for the Hawkeyes. But after a redshirt season, and playing sparingly the year after that, Brecht left the gridiron behind to focus on his pitching duties.

Probably a smart move.

He led all pitchers with a .143 batting average against during the 2023 campaign, when he finished with a 5-2 record and an ERA of 3.74. He went 4-3 this season with an ERA of just 3.33, while hitters managed a .165 average against him in 2024.

He has drawn some comparisons to Paul Skenes thanks to a fastball that can hit triple digits, and a slider with some snap. You can see both pitches here:

A lofty comparison to be sure, but one that will certainly grab some attention.

24. Atlanta Braves: Billy Amick, 3B, Tennessee

Earlier we discussed the potent Volunteers lineup that features five everyday players with an OPS above 1.000. Christian Moore, the second baseman, is one of those players.

Billy Amick is another.

Amick slashed .313/.392/.678 this past season for Tennessee, leading to that OPS north of 1.000. The third baseman also belted 23 home runs, behind only Moore on the Volunteers’ roster. A solid weekend in Omaha could see his stock move even higher than the back end of the first round.

25. San Diego Padres: Slade Caldwell, OF, Valley View (AR)

A.J. Preller has drafted a high school player in the first round of the last seven MLB Drafts.

Will he make it eight?

Slade Caldwell was the Gatorade Arkansas high school Player of the Year as a junior in 2023, when he hit .512 with five home runs. Described as his high school coach as a “true five tool player,” Caldwell can be a menace on the base paths with a left-handed swing that can spray line drives to all fields.

26. New York Yankees: Kash Mayfield, LHP, Elk City (OK)

The New York Yankees are likely to select the best bat available, unless one of the top arms falls to them.

In this scenario, one of the top arms indeed falls to them.

Kash Mayfield helped Elk City to the state semifinals in 2023, and he was named Gatorade’s Oklahoma high school Player of the Year as a result. That season he finished with a 9-1 record and a 0.75 ERA across 46 2/3 innings of work. In that span, he fanned 109 batters and walked only 13, allowing 18 hits in total. But after taking the summer off he exploded this spring, he truly made a name for himself at the Super 60 Pro Showcase in February, where he showed improved velocity on his fastball.

During the 2023 season his fastball was in the mid- to upper-80s, but starting with the Super 60 Pro Showcase and into his spring season it was hitting in the mid- to upper-90s. Add in a solid changeup and a curve that he commands well, and you have starter stuff in the big leagues.

27. Philadelphia Phillies: Dakota Jordan, OF, Mississippi State

The Philadelphia Phillies dipped into the high school market with their first-round selection a year ago, drafting Aidan Miller out of J. W. Mitchell High School in Florida.

They could dip back into the high school market, and if the board fell this way Theo Gillen out of Westlake High School in Texas would be an option, but here we have the Phillies adding Dakota Jordan from Mississippi State. The left-handed hitting outfielder put up big numbers for the Bulldogs this season, slashing .354/.459/.671 with 20 home runs, doubling the number he posted a season ago.

Another consideration with Jordan? He might still be learning how to use his speed. He was a three-star WR recruit coming out of high school and planned on playing receiver for Mississippi State, and also ran track while in high school.

But speaking of speed, his bat speed stands out. Watch how quick he gets his hands around on this home run from the Charlottesville Regional:

That’s pretty quick.

28. Houston Astros: Kaelen Culpepper, SS, Kansas State

As a sophomore in 2023 Kaelen Culpepper slashed .325/.423/.576 for the Wildcats, but there were concerns about his power projection when he struggled a bit this past summer in the Cape Cod League. Playing for the Harwich Mariners, Culpepper hit just .270 with a .318 Slugging Percentage, as his three doubles were his only extra-base hits.

But Culpepper moved to shortstop for this past season, ahd showed the ability to handle the defensive parts of the position while continuing to improve at the plate. This year he slashed .324/.416/.570 with 11 home runs, a career-high number. He may never be a 20+ HR player in the bigs, but could be a consistent 15-20 HR player with the ability to hit for average.

29. Arizona Diamondbacks: Malcolm Moore, C, Stanford

Thanks to the MLB Draft rules, the Arizona Diamondbacks have three picks clustered together, starting with this selection at No. 29 overall. With Corbin Carroll winning National League Rookie of the Year the Diamondbacks will be on the clock again at No. 31, and then they will be on the clock again at No. 35, in the “Competitive Balance Round.”

So they have a lot of freedom with this pick to explore the studio space.

Catcher Malcolm Moore from Stanford could be an option. Moore put up a slash line of .255/.414/.553 this year, which does not jump off the page, but the tools are there for him to be a more consistent hitter. He showed that during his first season at Stanford, when he slashed .311/.386/.564, and the power has been there both season, as he belted 15 home runs in 2023 and another 16 home runs this past season.

30. Texas Rangers: Jurrangelo Cijntje, RHP/LHP, Mississippi State

You read that right.

Jurrangelo Cinjntje is a natural left-hander, but wanted to be like his dad, who was a right-handed pitcher in the Netherlands. So he would put on his dad’s right-handed glove and start to throw.

He first became known worldwide as a member of Curacao’s team at the 2016 Little League World Series, where his switch-pitching ability drew lots of eyeballs. As a right-handed hurler he operates with a fastball that can get into the upper 90s, while that same pitch left-handed is more of a low-90s heater.

For fun, here is an overlay of Cinjntje throwing a fastball with both arms:

Also if you are wondering, his glove is a custom design that he can change on the fly:

His best stuff comes as a right-hander, so do not be surprised if he focuses on that going forward. But he is certainly an intriguing prospect.